Feed wheat under pressure while rapeseed prices rebound
Before we begin, the latest AHDB Harvest Report revealed that farmer-reported yields for winter wheat had improved by 6 August, now averaging 7.7 tonnes per hectare, only 1% down on the five-year average. Average winter barley yields are also 1% below the five-year average at 6.7 t/ha, while winter OSR has hit the highest average yield since 2011 at 4.0 t/ha.
The winter barley and OSR harvests are now complete across the UK, while winter wheat and oats are both 48% complete. At this stage last year, winter wheat was 37% complete while the oat harvest was 22% complete.
Judging by AHDB’s yield estimates, along with their 2025 acreage forecasts, we predict the UK’s total tonnage of wheat for harvest 2025 will be around 12.4 Mt. This would be an 11% increase on 2024, the increased supply potentially placing downward pressure on wheat prices. Likewise, the combined barley tonnage would be 7.4 Mt, a 6% rise in supply over 2024.
And now back to the grain market update…
Feed Wheat
London feed wheat for November 2025 fell to £169.40, down 1.7% from last week’s closing price of £172.40. Wheat futures remain under pressure from the significant upgrade to the global corn output forecast in the latest WASDE report, while sterling’s strength against both the dollar and euro has added further downward pressure. The carry to May 2026 narrowed to £11.75.
On Hectare Trading, feed wheat received price offers up to £180 in the East Midlands for March 2026 movement, and received price offers up to £175 in Central Scotland for August 2025 movement.
Milling Wheat
Paris milling wheat for September 2025 edged up to €197.00 (£169.75), a 0.3% gain on last week’s €196.50 (£169.32). A weakening euro has lent support to European wheat prices. The carry to December 2025 narrowed to £0.65.
On Hectare Trading, Group 1 wheat received price offers up to £190 in East Anglia for August 2025 movement, with a price offer range of £15. Group 2 wheat received price offers up to £185 in the South West for September 2025 movement and Group 3 wheat received price offers up to £184 in the North West for November 2025 movement, with a price offer range of £9. Group 4 Hard wheat received price offers up to £185 in the Scottish Borders for August 2025 movement.
Oilseeds
Paris rapeseed for November 2025 rose to €475.75 (£409.95), up 1.6% from last week’s €468.25 (£403.49). The oilseed has recovered from a four-month contract low, a drop initially triggered by Winnipeg canola’s fall after China announced plans to increase tariffs on Canadian imports. A softer euro also helped Paris rapeseed futures extend their recovery. The carry to February 2026 narrowed to £3.88.
On Hectare Trading, OSR received price offers up to £375 in North East Scotland for August 2025 movement.
Other Crops
Elsewhere on Hectare Trading, feed rye received price offers up to £160 in Yorkshire and the Humber for September 2025 movement, with a price offer range of £12, feed beans received price offers up to £220 in the North West for August 2025 movement, with an offer range of £8. Feed barley received price offers up to £159 in Mid Wales for November 2025 movement, with prices ranging by £5.
Wanted Crop
🌾Feed Barley is wanted for collection from Shropshire, Herefordshire, and Staffordshire. Wanted at £154-£160/t ex-farm for August/September movement.
🌾Feed Barley is wanted for delivery near Bristol. Collection from the West Midlands, Shropshire, Gloucestershire, Somerset, and Wiltshire. Wanted at £150-£156/t ex-farm for August/September movement (200t).
🌾Feed Wheat is wanted for delivery near Bristol. Collection from the West Midlands, Shropshire, Gloucestershire, Somerset, and Wiltshire. Wanted at £163-167/t ex-farm for August/September movement (200t).
🌾Feed Rye is wanted for delivery near York. Collection from Yorkshire, Lincolnshire, Nottinghamshire, Durham, and Lancashire. Wanted at £150-160/t ex-farm for August/September movement (232t).
This article is for general information only and is not an instruction to trade. While we make every effort to ensure the accuracy of the content at the time of publication, Hectare Trading makes no guarantee regarding the data provided.
